AI Uncertainty (AIU) Index

2016-2022 = 100

Notes:

The AIU Index measures perceived uncertainty about the economic implications of AI. It is constructed using news articles that simultaneously reference AI, economic conditions, and uncertainty, sourced from leading US, UK, and European news outlets via Dow Jones Factiva. Baseline period: M1:2016–M12:2022 (mean = 100). Details are provided in Reyes, J. (2026). The Macroeconomic Effects of AI Uncertainty.
A value of 0.0 indicates that no articles in that month satisfied all three keyword filters (AI, economy, and uncertainty) simultaneously. It does not indicate missing data.
The Dow Jones Factiva news archive is periodically updated. The AIU Index is constructed from articles retrieved as of January 2026.

p - preliminary

Terms of Use:

The AIU Index is provided for academic research and non-commercial use. By downloading or using this data, you agree to:

Cite the source appropriately in all uses.
Do not redistribute the data without permission.
Acknowledge that any views, errors, or omissions in your work using this data are your own responsibility.

Suggested Citation:

Reyes, J. (2026). The Macroeconomic Effects of AI Uncertainty. Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Paper 2026-02, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=6233958 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.6233958